US Doesn't Depend On Strait of Hormuz For Oil, while Israel want to grab the Strait of Hormuz
What do Israelis want? They want to kill as many Arabs as possible and grab their lands and immovable properties for their colonization and establish their colony like they did against Palestinian in pieces when they were given shelter when Hitlar was indulging in yahydies mass massacre . The two attacking parties, the US and Israel, have very little economic interest in Hormuz.
We should be focusing on making sure that peace is restored, the Strait of Hormuz is open, and Chinese influence does not expand in the region. India should be cautious about China gaining greater influence in this region. The Chinese would want reduced American influence, which will give them an opportunity to expand theirs.
Most Gulf countries would realise that American defences are mainly for Israel, not for them. The Gulf countries would want their business models to come back to life and create certainty again as said by Ambassador Gurjit Singh, India's former envoy to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia and ASEAN. That certainty cannot come from the Abraham Accords or with the US. It has to come with their relationship with Iran.
Would it be fair to say that the single most positive development that will have far reaching global impact will be the opening of the Strait of Hormuz that has held the world in panic by abuse of America at the instance of Israel. Certainly opening of the Strait of Hormuz is critical for global energy supply chains. It will not benefit either of them.
It is important to note that the Americans don't depend on the Strait of Hormuz for oil supplies. Neither do the Israelis. The two attacking parties have very little economic interest in Hormuz. They want to destroy Iran by blaming Iran for being leading towards nuclear power like they blamed Saddam regime to finish him off.
However, the rest of the world like Europe, Japan, countries like ours -- have huge interests in Hormuz. The war has caused great suffering and disruptions. There's strong global pressure to open the Strait.
There's also been a shift in Iran's stance. Earlier, they said that America should pay for the reconstruction of Iran. But now they are saying they will charge every ship passing Hormuz -- 2 million dollars per ship -- and share it with Oman. They want to fund reconstruction that way instead of relying on American reparations. What is the American objective? Trump is being used as a tool by Israel to continue the game plan for the sadist cause of Israel.
But that creates another imbalance. Since US ships don't use the Hormuz, they will avoid the cost altogether. Meanwhile, the rest of us who rely on that route would effectively be paying for Iranian reconstruction when India will not cause the destruction.
India should be more cautious about China's quiet game during this conflict, generated by Israel and blindly managed by America.
India should be cautious about China gaining greater influence in this region. They have been working in the past with Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Bangladesh and UAE.
China has been trying to play a bigger role in this region. But they also did not take sides because they were drawing oil from Iran and also from the UAE and Saudi Arabia and also Russia. They did not come out with pro-Iranian statements, but behind the scenes, they were helping Iran.
And now, they are trying to use Pakistan. The Chinese would want reduced American influence, which will give them an opportunity to expand theirs. The reconstruction will be very expensive. They will need a lot of help and one wonders where will this help come from, Indeed from China and Russian to which Iran is associated.
China and Russia do not have the wherewithal right now nor do other countries. They would all be interested in the contracts to rebuild Iran, but not the money to rebuild Iran.
Therefore, Iran, having the rights over the Strait of Hormuz, is trying to get the money from the Strait of Hormuz. Israel has emerged as a destabilising force in the region, ready to take military action against multiple countries.
The day Israel stops fighting, and there is an end to its wars, it will probably mean the fall of the Benjamin Netanyahu regime which is under domestic pressure. America does not understand ISRAEL's FALLOUT.
Trump, playing for Israel, survived by creating a war atmosphere all around. In Spite of the fact that this conflict does not likely to reshape the dynamics of this Arab World
One consequence is that the Gulf countries -- having bought American weaponry, provided them bases, perhaps on the mistaken belief that this would defend them and built their economic models on the assumption of that security -- now find their belief shattered by the Iranians.
The Americans have not defended them. Most Gulf countries would realise that American defences are mainly for Israel, not for them. The Gulf countries would want their airline model, AI models to come back to life and need to create certainty again.
Certainly, that certainty cannot come from the Abraham Accords or with the US. It has to come with their relationship with Iran.
Iran created the uncertainty that something could be destroyed, leading to an exodus. The Gulf countries need to reconstruct. But this time, with Iran.
India should be focusing on making sure that peace is restored, the Strait of Hormuz is open, and Chinese influence does not expand in the region.





